
How to Get Started in the Cattle Business When Markets Are High
Lessons From The Ranchonomics Podcast Episode 41 With Wally Olson & Kim Barker
Everyone wants to know how to get started in the cattle business, but almost nobody wants to do it when bred cows are bringing $4,000 and feeders are near $3. The shock of record prices freezes people up. The truth is a high market is a real opportunity to get in: you just have to do the math, keep your money close to the cow, and refuse to lock up.
This one’s for the person with little or no herd who wants in, and for the producer already in who wants to clean up. Wally Olson and Kim Barker (both Oklahoma cattlemen who’ve started and restarted operations through full market cycles) lay out exactly how to get started in the cattle business without overcommitting capital, and how not to repeat the regret so many people carried out of the 2014–15 peak.
Key Takeaways
- A high market is an opportunity to learn how to get started in the cattle business, not a reason to sit out, but you must do the math and not lock up.
- Lease cattle or lease country to get in with little upfront capital, then build equity from cash flow and retained heifers.
- Buy heifers, breed twice as many as you want to keep, and sell the opens and half the breds to pay for the ones you keep.
- Don’t ride a cow from $4,000 down to $900. Capture appreciation by transacting, then reinvest the cash.
How to Get Started in the Cattle Business With Little Capital
The first question Kim raises is the right one, and it’s really the whole question of how to get started in the cattle business: if you had no cattle at all right now, how would you get in? The answer is to use other people’s resources so you’re not fronting all the capital.
Leasing is the cleanest path. You can lease country that’s coming open, and you can lease cattle. Kim’s daughter Lacey, who in 2014 leased 135 cows at the last market peak, ran them four years, and came out the other side with cows free and clear plus cash in the bank, eventually buying land out of the deal. She started with essentially no capital up front, kept her share of the heifer calves and proceeds, and let the deal build her equity.
This is where the practical side of how to get started in the cattle business shows up. If you’d rather own from day one, even pricey older bred cows at $2,000 still have good cash-flow potential. Buy a cow, sell the cow and the steer calves, keep the heifer calves, and you can get her close to paid for. Or buy a set of heifers, breed twice as many as you want to keep, sell the opens (which usually makes good money) then sell half the breds, and the ones you keep are largely paid for. As Jim Gerrish-style logic goes: there’s nothing wrong with buying high-priced cows, as long as you’re selling high-priced cows too.
Use a High Market to Lower the Money in Your Cow Herd
If you’re already in, the same high-market thinking that answers how to get started in the cattle business also tells you when to clean up. Trade off the big, inefficient cows sired by heavy-milk bulls and buy into something smaller, more efficient, and younger. Cull prices are unusually high, around $1,800 on a 1,200-pound cull, so the bottom end is paying well.
Here’s the trade Wally walks through. A bred cow is selling for $4,000. A heifer ready to breed buys back for about $2,000, so there’s $2,000 of appreciation sitting in that cow. Take $700 of it, add it to the $2,000 heifer, and you’ve got a $2,700 bred heifer plus $1,300 in calf and $1,300 in the bank. You just went from a $4,000 cow to a $2,700 cow, pocketed cash, and got younger. Do that trade twice and you’re sitting on a $2,700 cow plus $2,600 in cash. If cows ever fall back to $900, you’ll look like a genius.
How to Get Started in the Cattle Business Without Future Regret
The regret stories all share one mistake: riding cows down without ever transacting. People are very comfortable riding appreciation up, but if there’s never a sale, you never capture the gain. As Wally says, you can ride a cow from $900 to $4,000 and back to $900 and it benefits you exactly zero.
It gets worse on the back side, because depreciation and deflation hit at the same time. An older cow loses value as she ages, and markets typically move about 50% down, so today’s $1,800 cull cow becomes a $900 cull cow. From $4,000 to $900 is $3,100 of loss, and nobody writes a check for it, so nobody feels it. As Kim puts it, if you lost 14% of your calves you’d bar the door and fix it, but a quiet 25% depreciation in the cow herd goes unnoticed because there’s no dead calf to look at. That’s the part of how to get started in the cattle business that nobody talks about: the exit matters as much as the entry.
So how to get started in the cattle business and stay there? Deal with today, look forward at the relationships between values rather than backward at what you paid, and don’t fear the drop: get prepared for it. And remember the order of operations Wally and Kim both preach: get better before you get bigger. Most people chase scale when they should be getting more production out of the ground they already control.
Frequently Asked Questions
How do you get started in the cattle business when markets are high? The short version of how to get started in the cattle business in a high market: get in with little capital by leasing cattle or country, then build equity from cash flow and retained heifers, the way Kim’s daughter Lacey did, leasing 135 cows and ending with cows free and clear plus cash. Always do the math on the specific deal, and don’t lock up out of fear.
Is it a bad idea to buy cattle when prices are at record highs? Not by itself. There’s nothing wrong with buying high-priced cattle as long as you’re selling high-priced cattle too. The danger isn’t the high entry price: it’s buying older cows and then riding them down through depreciation and deflation without ever transacting.
Should a beginner buy cows or heifers? Heifers are often the better entry for anyone still working out how to get started in the cattle business: breed twice as many as you want to keep, sell the opens for good money, sell half the breds, and the keepers come close to paying for themselves. Older bred cows can also work because they still produce solid cash flow.
How do you protect yourself from a market drop after getting in? This is the protective half of how to get started in the cattle business. Capture appreciation by transacting (trade a $4,000 cow into a $2,700 cow plus cash) and set that cash aside earning 4–5%. Keep your herd young, sell aging cows before they depreciate, and finance breeding stock on a term note rather than a short line of credit.
The Bottom Line
Knowing how to get started in the cattle business in a high market comes down to a few unglamorous habits: do the math on every deal, use leasing to limit the capital you risk, keep your herd young, and capture appreciation by actually transacting instead of admiring it on paper. Don’t fear the drop: get prepared for it. However you begin, how to get started in the cattle business always comes back to these same fundamentals. If you want help running those numbers for your own entry plan, that’s exactly the work our team at Ranch Right does with producers.
More From the Sell/Buy Marketing Series
- Sell Buy Cattle Marketing: The Complete Guide: the full cluster guide
- Using the Cattle Cycle to Buy and Sell Cows: timing herd growth to a multi-year cycle
- Custom Grazing: How to Run Cattle on Other People’s Land: growing a herd without buying more ground
- Sell Buy Marketing in Canada: A Real Example: a real pivot into cattle from grain farming
This article draws on Episode 41 of the Ranchonomics Podcast with Wally Olson and Kim Barker.
























